ReconMR/Siena Research Institute: 27 Jul – 30 Jul 2026
U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by ReconMR/Siena Research Institute.
Rules
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 453 | “representativeness. For the sample that answered the entire survey (n=453), it has an overall margin of error of +/- 5.5 percentage” (document, page 5) |
| Field start date | 2026-07-27 | “This Texas Poll / Texas A&M Bush School Poll was conducted July 27 - 30, 2026, among 619 Likely Texas Voters. Of the 619” (document, page 5) |
| Field end date | 2026-07-30 | “This Texas Poll / Texas A&M Bush School Poll was conducted July 27 - 30, 2026, among 619 Likely Texas Voters. Of the 619” (document, page 5) |
| How people were reached | mixed | “respondents, 455 were contacted through a dual frame (landline and cell phone) mode (164 completed via text to web).” (document, page 5) |
| Who was surveyed | lv | “are still forming opinions about Gina Hinojosa. Nearly one in three likely voters – 31 percent - said they did not” (document, page 2) |
| Sponsor | Not disclosed | |
| Margin of error | 5.5 | “representativeness. For the sample that answered the entire survey (n=453), it has an overall margin of error of +/- 5.5 percentage” (document, page 5) |
| Weighting | age, region, race/ethnicity, education, party identification, a combined measure of stated and derived vote likelihood, and gender | “Data from collection modes were weighted to balance sample demographics to match estimates for Texas’s population using data from the state voter file, on age, region, race/ethnicity, education, party identification, a combined measure of stated and derived vote likelihood, and gender to ensure representativeness.” (document, page 5) |
| Party mix of the sample | Not disclosed | |
| Age mix of the sample | Not disclosed | |
| Region mix of the sample | Not disclosed | |
| Ballot question wording | If the election for Senator of Texas was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were the Republican, Ken Paxton, the Democrat, James Talarico, or someone else? (Names of candidates were rotated.) | “Q. 3 If the election for Senator of Texas was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were the Republican, Ken Paxton, the Democrat, James Talarico, or someone else? (Names of candidates were rotated.)” (document, page 6) |
| Question order | Not disclosed | |
| Crosstabs | Not disclosed | |
| Where respondents came from | voter-file | “The landline telephone sample and the cell phone sample were obtained from L-2 database of registered voters.” (document, page 5) |