Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

A2 Insights: 23 Oct – 27 Oct 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by A2 Insights.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 5 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 631 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size631 “631 Likely Voters” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-10-23 “10/23/2026 – 10/27/2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-10-27 “10/23/2026 – 10/27/2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedonline-panel “Respondents were recruited through an online, opt-in panel conducted in English. Weighting targets” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “631 Likely Voters” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error4.9 “MoE: ±4.9pp” (document, page 1)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingIf the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas were held today and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? “If the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas were held today and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?” (document, page 3)
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “2024 Harris” (document, page 3)
Where respondents came fromNot checked

Documents