Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Republican primary

YouGov: 2 Feb – 16 Feb 2026

U.S. Senate, Republican primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by YouGov.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkwe could not read the age mix of the sample in this poll's documents
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 15 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,300 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 9 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1300 “N=1300 Registered Voters. In addition, results for the 2026 primary election items include an” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-02-02 “Field Dates: February 2-16, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-02-16 “Field Dates: February 2-16, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedonline-panel “population and the opt-in panel.” (document, page 55)
Who was surveyedrv “N=1300 Registered Voters. In addition, results for the 2026 primary election items include an” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot checked
Margin of error2.72 “Margin of error: +/- 2.72% unless otherwise noted1” (document, page 1)
Weightingage, gender, race/ethnicity, education (for the Republican primary voter sample) “These weights were then post-stratified to match the distributions of the respective primary voter frames on four category age, gender by race, and four category education.” (document, page 53)
Party mix of the sampleNot checked
Age mix of the sampleNot checked
Region mix of the sampleNot checked
Ballot question wordingIf the 2026 Republican primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? “If the 2026 Republican primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?” (document, page 31)
Question orderOnly says the basic demographic questions come last, after the political questions. Says nothing about where the Senate primary question falls. “We’re almost done. Now we just have a few basic questions for statistical purposes.” (document, page 43)
Crosstabsyes “February 2026 Texas Statewide Survey Crosstabs” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came frompanel-vendor “The YouGov panel, a proprietary opt-in survey panel, is comprised of 1.5 million U.S. residents who have agreed to participate in YouGov Web surveys.” (document, page 54)

Documents