Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

ActiVote: 17 Oct – 21 Oct 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by ActiVote.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Could not checkwe read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting stated on a page about this poll
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 5 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 400 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 0 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size400 “The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-10-17 “The poll was in the field between October 17 and October 21” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-10-21 “The poll was in the field between October 17 and October 21” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedNot on the page we read
Who was surveyedlv “400 likely midterm voters” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot on the page we read
Margin of error4.9 “MoE ±4.9%” (document, page 1)
WeightingDemographics, Spectrum “Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Age mix of the sample18-29: 29% unweighted, 17% weighted; 30-49: 34% unweighted, 29% weighted; 50-64: 26% unweighted, 23% weighted; 65+: 11% unweighted, 30% weighted “Age 18-29 29% 17% 70%” (document, page 1)
Region mix of the samplerural: 32% unweighted, 30% weighted; suburban: 27% unweighted, 27% weighted; urban: 41% unweighted, 42% weighted “Region rural 32% 30% 39%” (document, page 1)
Ballot question wordingNot on the page we read
Question orderNot on the page we read
Crosstabsyes “The full crosstab table” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came fromNot on the page we read

Documents