ActiVote: 17 Oct – 21 Oct 2026
U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by ActiVote.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | no measured benchmark for this state yet |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Clear | crosstabs published |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Clear | weighting stated on a page about this poll |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed likely voters |
| Fielded in a single day. | Clear | fielded over 5 days |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 400 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Clear | first listed 0 days after fieldwork ended |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 400 | “The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | 2026-10-17 | “The poll was in the field between October 17 and October 21” (document, page 1) |
| Field end date | 2026-10-21 | “The poll was in the field between October 17 and October 21” (document, page 1) |
| How people were reached | Not on the page we read | |
| Who was surveyed | lv | “400 likely midterm voters” (document, page 1) |
| Sponsor | Not on the page we read | |
| Margin of error | 4.9 | “MoE ±4.9%” (document, page 1) |
| Weighting | Demographics, Spectrum | “Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum.” (document, page 1) |
| Party mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Age mix of the sample | 18-29: 29% unweighted, 17% weighted; 30-49: 34% unweighted, 29% weighted; 50-64: 26% unweighted, 23% weighted; 65+: 11% unweighted, 30% weighted | “Age 18-29 29% 17% 70%” (document, page 1) |
| Region mix of the sample | rural: 32% unweighted, 30% weighted; suburban: 27% unweighted, 27% weighted; urban: 41% unweighted, 42% weighted | “Region rural 32% 30% 39%” (document, page 1) |
| Ballot question wording | Not on the page we read | |
| Question order | Not on the page we read | |
| Crosstabs | yes | “The full crosstab table” (document, page 1) |
| Where respondents came from | Not on the page we read |
Documents
- Article or page: https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/ (kept a copy)
- Article or page: https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/2026-10-21/ (kept a copy)