Overton Insights: 24 Aug – 26 Aug 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Overton Insights.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Flag	did not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Clear	weighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 1,167 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 7 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	1167	“Sample n=1,167” (document, page 1)
Field start date	2026-08-24	“Field dates August 24, 2026 to August 26, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date	2026-08-26	“Field dates August 24, 2026 to August 26, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reached	text-to-web	“Respondents were recruited through MMS texts.” (document, page 2)
Who was surveyed	lv	“Universe Likely voters” (document, page 1)
Sponsor	Texas Public Policy Foundation and conducted by employees of Overton Insights	“sponsored by Texas Public Policy Foundation and conducted by employees of Overton Insights.” (document, page 2)
Margin of error	Not disclosed
Weighting	gender, age, education, race	“Results were weighted on gender, age, education, and race to reflect the likely-voter population in Texas.” (document, page 2)
Party mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Age mix of the sample	18-29 8.0%; 30-44 17.0%; 45-54 19.0%; 55-64 23.0%; 65 and over 33.0%	“65 and over 33.0%” (document, page 8)
Region mix of the sample	Urban counties 73.1%; Suburban counties 18.2%; Rural counties 8.7%	“Urban counties 73.1%” (document, page 9)
Ballot question wording	If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?	“If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?” (document, page 3)
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	Not disclosed
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed