Texas poll check

Governor, general election

YouGov: 5 Aug – 13 Aug 2026

Governor, general election · registered voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by YouGov.

Sources disagree

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed registered voters 82 days before the election
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 9 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,200 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 12 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1200 “N=1200 Registered Voters” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-08-05 “Field Dates: August 5-13, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-08-13 “Field Dates: August 5-13, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedonline-panel “population and the opt-in panel.” (document, page 57)
Who was surveyedrv “N=1200 Registered Voters” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot checked
Margin of error2.83 “Margin of error: +/- 2.83% (3.58% adjusted for weighting) unless otherwise noted1” (document, page 1)
Weighting2024 presidential vote choice, gender, age, race, education “The weights were then post-stratified on 2024 Presidential vote choice, a” (document, page 56)
Party mix of the sampleDemocrats 40%, Independents 10%, Republicans 50% (PID3). The population label (registered voters, Governor race) is not on pages 39-48. “Democrats 40” (document, page 46)
Age mix of the sample18-29: 17%, 30-44: 25%, 45-64: 35%, 65+: 23% (AGE). The population label is not on pages 39-48. “18-29 17” (document, page 48)
Region mix of the sampleMetro area (METRO): Houston 20%, Dallas-Fort Worth 33%, San Antonio 10%, Austin 8%, another part of Texas 29%. Also urban/suburban/rural (LOCATE): Urban 30%, Suburban 53%, Rural 17%. “Yes, I live in the Houston area 20” (document, page 48)
Ballot question wordingQ20 (Governor): "If the 2026 election for Governor were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Republican Greg Abbott”, “the Democrat Gina Hinojosa”, “the Libertarian Pat Dixon”] the Republican Greg Abbott, the Democrat Gina Hinojosa, and the Libertarian Pat Dixon, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-3]" “who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-3]” (document, page 29)
Question orderQ25A and Q25B are randomized. This applies to the party favorability questions only, not to the Governor race. “[RANDOMIZE Q25A-Q25B]” (document, page 32)
Crosstabsyes “August 2026 Texas Statewide Survey Crosstabs” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came frompanel-vendor “The YouGov panel, a proprietary opt-in survey panel, is comprised of 1.5” (document, page 56)

Documents