Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (Texas Southern University): 21 Oct – 25 Oct 2026
Governor, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (Texas Southern University).
Rules
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 2000 | “conducted a representative survey of 2,000 Texans who are likely to cast a ballot in the November 2026 general election” (document, page 2) |
| Field start date | 2026-10-21 | “(in English and Spanish) between October 21 and October 25, 2026 by contacting a random” (document, page 2) |
| Field end date | 2026-10-25 | “(in English and Spanish) between October 21 and October 25, 2026 by contacting a random” (document, page 2) |
| How people were reached | mixed | “sample of Texas registered voters via SMS text messages through which the respondents were” (document, page 2) |
| Who was surveyed | lv | “Abbott is viewed favorably by 48% of likely voters and unfavorably by 51%, and Hinojosa is” (document, page 3) |
| Sponsor | Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University. The Center's research is funded by Texas Southern University and by philanthropic grants to the University. No candidate, campaign, party, or political committee commissioned, funded, or paid for any survey. | “The Center's research is funded by Texas Southern University and by philanthropic grants to the University.” (document, page 25) |
| Margin of error | 2.19 | “2026 general election (margin of error of +/- 2.19%). This probability-based survey was fielded” (document, page 2) |
| Weighting | demographic, historical electoral, geographic benchmarks | “adjusted via multidimensional calibration weighting using demographic, historical electoral, and geographic benchmarks” (document, page 2) |
| Party mix of the sample | 40% Republican, 31% Democratic, 24% Independent, 4% another party or group, 1% unsure | “The distribution of partisan identifiers among these likely voters is 40% Republican, 31% Democratic and 24% Independent, with 4% identifying with another party or group, and 1% unsure of their partisanship.” (document, page 4) |
| Age mix of the sample | 18-34: 18%; 35-54: 34%; 55+: 48% | “Almost one-fifth (18%) of the population is between the ages of 18 and 34, 34% is between the ages of 35 and 54, and 48% is age 55 and older.” (document, page 4) |
| Region mix of the sample | Not disclosed | |
| Ballot question wording | Not disclosed | |
| Question order | Favorability questions about statewide candidates were asked before the vote intention questions. | “In the survey, before the respective vote intention questions were asked, these Texas likely voters were queried about whether they have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the 16 statewide Democratic and Republican candidates” (document, page 23) |
| Crosstabs | yes | “Table 2: Vote Intention in the Nov. 2026 Texas Governor Election, Among Key Sub-Groups (%)” (document, page 9) |
| Where respondents came from | Not checked |
Documents
- Article or page: https://www.jordanresearchcenter.org/publications/tsuoct2026-txelections-statewide2026 (kept a copy)
- Topline: https://static1.squarespace.com/static/67aa7aa3e284b002cd6a420e/t/6ae28aaadbf6636957aa51e7/1793231530759/TSUStatewideOct2026.pdf (kept a copy)
- Topline: https://www.jordanresearchcenter.org/s/TSUStatewideOct2026.pdf (kept a copy)