Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

AtlasIntel: 28 Oct – 1 Nov 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · adults · listed by pollresults. All polls by AtlasIntel.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Could not checkwe could not read the weighting in this poll's documents
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Flagsurveyed adults, not likely voters, 2 days before the election (threshold 60)
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 5 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,678 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 0 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1678 “1,678 respondents” (document, page 5)
Field start date2026-10-28 “10/28/2026 - 11/01/2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-11-01 “10/28/2026 - 11/01/2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedother “Random Digital Recruitment (Atlas RDR)” (document, page 5)
Who was surveyedlv “to people who may eventually be listening of likely voters.” (document, page 4)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error2 “±2 p.p.” (document, page 5)
WeightingNot checked
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingIf the Texas midterm election for US Senate were held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? “If the Texas midterm election for US Senate were held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?” (document, page 14)
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “[crosstabs]” (document, page 16)
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents