J.L. Partners: 1 Dec – 3 Dec 2025

U.S. Senate, Republican primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by J.L. Partners.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Flag	did not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Clear	weighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Flag	sample of 300 is below the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	300	“Method: Live to cell (N=300); Live to landline (N=60); SMS to web (N=240)” (document, page 1)
Field start date	2025-12-01	“Fieldwork dates: December 1 – 3, 2025” (document, page 1)
Field end date	2025-12-03	“Fieldwork dates: December 1 – 3, 2025” (document, page 1)
How people were reached	mixed	“Method: Live to cell (N=300); Live to landline (N=60); SMS to web (N=240)” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyed	lv	“Sample: 600 likely voters in the March 2026 Texas GOP Primary” (document, page 1)
Sponsor	Not disclosed
Margin of error	4.0	“The margin of error is 4.0%.” (document, page 1)
Weighting	gender, age, education, party identification, 2024 vote, MAGA/non-MAGA, participation in the last four primary elections	“gender, age, education, party identification, 2024 vote, MAGA/non-MAGA, and participation in the last four primary elections.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Age mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Region mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Ballot question wording	If the primary election for the U.S. Senate seat in Texas was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were…	“If the primary election for the U.S. Senate seat in Texas was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were…” (document, page 2)
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	Not disclosed
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed