Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

Emerson College: 12 Sep – 14 Sep 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Emerson College.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkwe could not read the age mix of the sample in this poll's documents
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Could not checkwe could not read the crosstabs in this poll's documents
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode stated on a page about this poll
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting stated on a page about this poll
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,000 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 3 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1000 “The Emerson College Polling Texas survey was conducted September 12-14, 2026. The sample of likely voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3 percent. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-09-12 “The Emerson College Polling Texas survey was conducted September 12-14, 2026. The sample of likely voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3 percent. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-09-14 “The Emerson College Polling Texas survey was conducted September 12-14, 2026. The sample of likely voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3 percent. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedtext-to-web “Data was collected by contacting registered voters from a probability-based panel of voters provided by Consensus Strategies using MMS text-to-web. Additional panel interviews were provided by PureSpectrum. The survey was hosted on QuestionPro.” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “The sample of likely voters, n=1,000” (document, page 1)
SponsorNexstar Media “All questions asked in this survey with exact wording and order, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found below. This survey was sponsored by Nexstar Media.” (document, page 1)
Margin of error3 “The Emerson College Polling Texas survey was conducted September 12-14, 2026. The sample of likely voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3 percent. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.” (document, page 1)
Weightinggender, education, race, age, region “The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleCould not read
Age mix of the sampleCould not read
Region mix of the sampleCould not read
Ballot question wordingCould not read
Question orderCould not read
CrosstabsCould not read
Where respondents came frompanel-vendor “from a probability-based panel of voters provided by Consensus Strategies” (document, page 1)

Documents