Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

Trafalgar Group: 31 Oct – 1 Nov 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Trafalgar Group.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Flagdid not disclose the how people were reached
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 2 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,089 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 0 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1089 “• 1089 Respondents” (document, page 2)
Field start date2026-10-31 “• Conducted 10/31/26 - 11/01/26” (document, page 2)
Field end date2026-11-01 “• Conducted 10/31/26 - 11/01/26” (document, page 2)
How people were reachedNot disclosed
Who was surveyedlv “Likely General Election Voters” (document, page 2)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error2.9 “• Margin of Error: 2.9%” (document, page 2)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingIf the race for U.S. Senate were tomorrow, which candidate do you support? “If the race for U.S. Senate were tomorrow, which candidate do you support?” (document, page 3)
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “AgeGender Crosstabs” (document, page 8)
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents