University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov: 18 Sep – 28 Sep 2026
U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | no measured benchmark for this state yet |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed likely voters |
| Fielded in a single day. | Could not check | field dates not on the page we read (see the basic-method rule) |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 850 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Could not check | field end or first listing date not known |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 850 | “The survey of 850 likely Texas voters” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | Not on the page we read | |
| Field end date | Not on the page we read | |
| How people were reached | online-panel | “Funded by UMass Lowell, the nonpartisan online survey was designed and analyzed by the university’s Center for Public Opinion and fielded by YouGov. Detailed poll results, including topline and full methodology, are available at www.uml.edu/polls.” (document, page 1) |
| Who was surveyed | lv | ““A majority of Texas likely voters say it has become harder to afford basic necessities, and more than eight in 10 identify the war in Iran or tariffs as the main reason for higher fuel and utility prices. These are not encouraging numbers for an incumbent during an election cycle. When voters connect rising costs at home with specific government policies, those concerns can become politically consequential, potentially punishing the party in power,” said Political Science Associate Professor Rodrigo Castro Cornejo, the center’s associate director.” (document, page 1) |
| Sponsor | UMass Lowell | “Funded by UMass Lowell, the nonpartisan online survey was designed and analyzed by the university’s Center for Public Opinion and fielded by YouGov.” (document, page 1) |
| Margin of error | 4.5 | “Fielded from Sept. 18 through Sept. 28, the poll carries an adjusted margin of error of +/-4.5 percentage points. Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3.” (document, page 1) |
| Weighting | Not on the page we read | |
| Party mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Age mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Region mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Ballot question wording | Not on the page we read | |
| Question order | Not on the page we read | |
| Crosstabs | Not on the page we read | |
| Where respondents came from | Not on the page we read |
Documents
- Article or page: https://www.uml.edu/news/press-releases/2026/10092026-texas-poll.aspx (kept a copy)