Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Republican primary

CWS Research: 19 Oct – 23 Oct 2022

U.S. Senate, Republican primary · registered voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by CWS Research.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed registered voters 1227 days before the election
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 5 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 823 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size823 “823 survey respondents were randomly selected from a demographically proportionate sample of voters who participated in the 2022 Texas Republican primary or primary runoff elections.” (document, page 1)
Field start date2022-10-19 “This survey was conducted from October 19 – October 23, 2022, through a series of interactive voice” (document, page 1)
Field end date2022-10-23 “This survey was conducted from October 19 – October 23, 2022, through a series of interactive voice” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedmixed “This survey was conducted from October 19 – October 23, 2022, through a series of interactive voice” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedv “823 survey respondents were randomly selected from a demographically proportionate sample of voters who participated in the 2022 Texas Republican primary or primary runoff elections.” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error3.42 “The survey has a ±3.42% margin of error with a confidence level of 95%.” (document, page 1)
Weightingage, gender, party “Weighted demographics include age, gender, and party.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleRepublican 78%, Independent 22%, Democrat END, Other END “Republican 78%” (document, page 1)
Age mix of the sample18-34 7%, 35-44 11%, 45-54 17%, 55-64 23%, 65-74 24%, 75 or over 18% “18-34 7%” (document, page 4)
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingIf the upcoming 2026 Republican Primary for US Senate were held today, and the candidates were John Cornyn, Ronny Jackson, and Chip Roy, for whom would you vote? [RANDOMIZED] “If the upcoming 2026 Republican Primary for US Senate were held today, and the candidates were John” (document, page 2)
Question orderNot disclosed
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents