GBAO: 26 Jan – 3 Feb 2026
Governor, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by GBAO.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | we could not read the age mix of the sample in this poll's documents |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Could not check | we could not read the crosstabs in this poll's documents |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we could not read the how people were reached in this poll's documents |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Could not check | we could not read the weighting in this poll's documents |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed likely voters |
| Fielded in a single day. | Clear | fielded over 9 days |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 1,000 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Clear | first listed 9 days after fieldwork ended |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 1000 | “of 1000 likely Texas voters” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | 2026-01-26 | “seeks a fourth term as Governor. This survey was conducted January 26 - February 3, 2026 of” (document, page 1) |
| Field end date | 2026-02-03 | “seeks a fourth term as Governor. This survey was conducted January 26 - February 3, 2026 of” (document, page 1) |
| How people were reached | Could not read | |
| Who was surveyed | lv | “1000 likely Texas voters” (document, page 1) |
| Sponsor | Could not read | |
| Margin of error | 3.1 | “1000 likely Texas voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence level.” (document, page 1) |
| Weighting | Could not read | |
| Party mix of the sample | Could not read | |
| Age mix of the sample | Could not read | |
| Region mix of the sample | Could not read | |
| Ballot question wording | Could not read | |
| Question order | Could not read | |
| Crosstabs | Could not read | |
| Where respondents came from | Could not read |
Documents
- Article or page: https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-how-maine-democrats (kept a copy)
- Crosstabs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12YaBonkqHAjkXhzyKlH2-1t-smZ6J5j76RCBSJEwQHo/export?format=xlsx (kept a copy)
- Topline: https://drive.google.com/uc?export=download&id=1HcKBWzElxg9AUOzaOXitYKVMwyc1M4sB (kept a copy)