Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

Big Data Poll: 24 Sep – 26 Sep 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Big Data Poll.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Could not checkwe read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode stated on a page about this poll
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting stated on a page about this poll
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 793 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 1 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size793 “The Public Polling Project conducted by BIG DATA POLL interviewed 793 registered voters and 698 likely voters in Texas from September 24 – 26, 2026. Interviews conducted online (≈40%) are sourced through Lucid (CINT) and live-agent phone interviews (≈60%) including P2P SMS and text-to-online are sourced from either the L2 National Voter File Database. Participants who opted for text-to-online were given 24 hours to complete the interview. Interview details plotted on maps can be reviewed by hovering and clicking on the locator pins. Results were weighted for sex, age, race and ethnicity, education, and geography. The overall sampling error is ±4.0% for both the registered voter sample and the likely voter sample at a 95% confidence level. It is important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher. All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded via the PUBLIC POLLING PROJECT, supplemented if necessary by BIG DATA POLL and are NOT funded by or affiliated with any candidate, campaign, committee, or political entity. Full and interactive crosstabs can be viewed on MarketSight.” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-09-24 “The Public Polling Project conducted by BIG DATA POLL interviewed 793 registered voters and 698 likely voters in Texas from September 24 – 26, 2026. Interviews conducted online (≈40%) are sourced through Lucid (CINT) and live-agent phone interviews (≈60%) including P2P SMS and text-to-online are sourced from either the L2 National Voter File Database. Participants who opted for text-to-online were given 24 hours to complete the interview. Interview details plotted on maps can be reviewed by hovering and clicking on the locator pins. Results were weighted for sex, age, race and ethnicity, education, and geography. The overall sampling error is ±4.0% for both the registered voter sample and the likely voter sample at a 95% confidence level. It is important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher. All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded via the PUBLIC POLLING PROJECT, supplemented if necessary by BIG DATA POLL and are NOT funded by or affiliated with any candidate, campaign, committee, or political entity. Full and interactive crosstabs can be viewed on MarketSight.” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-09-26 “The Public Polling Project conducted by BIG DATA POLL interviewed 793 registered voters and 698 likely voters in Texas from September 24 – 26, 2026. Interviews conducted online (≈40%) are sourced through Lucid (CINT) and live-agent phone interviews (≈60%) including P2P SMS and text-to-online are sourced from either the L2 National Voter File Database. Participants who opted for text-to-online were given 24 hours to complete the interview. Interview details plotted on maps can be reviewed by hovering and clicking on the locator pins. Results were weighted for sex, age, race and ethnicity, education, and geography. The overall sampling error is ±4.0% for both the registered voter sample and the likely voter sample at a 95% confidence level. It is important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher. All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded via the PUBLIC POLLING PROJECT, supplemented if necessary by BIG DATA POLL and are NOT funded by or affiliated with any candidate, campaign, committee, or political entity. Full and interactive crosstabs can be viewed on MarketSight.” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedtext-to-web “The Public Polling Project conducted by BIG DATA POLL interviewed 793 registered voters and 698 likely voters in Texas from September 24 – 26, 2026. Interviews conducted online (≈40%) are sourced through Lucid (CINT) and live-agent phone interviews (≈60%) including P2P SMS and text-to-online are sourced from either the L2 National Voter File Database. Participants who opted for text-to-online were given 24 hours to complete the interview. Interview details plotted on maps can be reviewed by hovering and clicking on the locator pins. Results were weighted for sex, age, race and ethnicity, education, and geography. The overall sampling error is ±4.0% for both the registered voter sample and the likely voter sample at a 95% confidence level. It is important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher. All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded via the PUBLIC POLLING PROJECT, supplemented if necessary by BIG DATA POLL and are NOT funded by or affiliated with any candidate, campaign, committee, or political entity. Full and interactive crosstabs can be viewed on MarketSight.” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “44.6% to 41.6% among likely voters on the initial ballot” (document, page 1)
SponsorPublic Polling Project (crowdfunded); BIG DATA POLL conducted the survey and supplements funding if necessary “All BIG DATA POLL publicly conducted surveys are crowdfunded via the PUBLIC POLLING PROJECT, supplemented if necessary by BIG DATA POLL” (document, page 1)
Margin of error4.0 “The overall sampling error is ±4.0% for both the registered voter sample and the likely voter sample at a 95% confidence level.” (document, page 1)
Weightingsex, age, race and ethnicity, education, geography “Results were weighted for sex, age, race and ethnicity, education, and geography.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Age mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Region mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Ballot question wordingNot on the page we read
Question orderNot on the page we read
CrosstabsNot on the page we read
Where respondents came frommixed “Interviews conducted online (≈40%) are sourced through Lucid (CINT) and live-agent phone interviews (≈60%) including P2P SMS and text-to-online are sourced from either the L2 National Voter File Database.” (document, page 1)

Documents