Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

Pulse Decision Science: 24 Sep – 27 Sep 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Pulse Decision Science.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Could not checkwe read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Could not checkwe read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Could not checkwe read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 4 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 800 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size800 “The new poll from Pulse Decision Science released Tuesday, Sept. 29, shows Paxton outpacing his Democrat rival, James Talarico, 48% to 45%. The poll surveyed 800 likely voters between Sept. 24 and Sept. 27.” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-09-24 “The poll surveyed 800 likely voters between Sept. 24 and Sept. 27.” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-09-27 “The poll surveyed 800 likely voters between Sept. 24 and Sept. 27.” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedNot on the page we read
Who was surveyedlv “The new poll from Pulse Decision Science released Tuesday, Sept. 29, shows Paxton outpacing his Democrat rival, James Talarico, 48% to 45%. The poll surveyed 800 likely voters between Sept. 24 and Sept. 27.” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot on the page we read
Margin of errorNot on the page we read
WeightingNot on the page we read
Party mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Age mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Region mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Ballot question wordingNot on the page we read
Question orderNot on the page we read
CrosstabsNot on the page we read
Where respondents came fromNot on the page we read

Documents