Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research: 23 Jul – 27 Jul 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · registered voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed registered voters 99 days before the election
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 5 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Flagsample of 100 is below the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 3 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size100 “sample size is at least N=100. Interviews were conducted by bilingual interviewers. Respondents” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-07-23 “Conducted July 23-27, 2026 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw &” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-07-27 “Conducted July 23-27, 2026 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw &” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedmixed “interviewers on landlines (72) and cellphones (681) or completed the survey online by following” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedrv “registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live” (document, page 1)
SponsorFox News “this Fox News poll” (document, page 1)
Margin of error3 “Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points.” (document, page 1)
Weightingage, race, education, area “weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleDemocrat 40%, Republican 50%, Independent / Other 11% “23-27 July 26 40% 33 7 50 42 8 11” (document, page 5)
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingIf the Texas election for U.S. Senator were today, would you vote for: “If the Texas election for U.S. Senator were today, would you vote for:” (document, page 2)
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100.” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came fromvoter-file “randomly selected from a statewide voter file” (document, page 1)

Documents