Blueprint Polling: 23 Feb – 24 Feb 2026

U.S. Senate, Democratic primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Blueprint Polling.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Clear	crosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Could not check	we could not read the how people were reached in this poll's documents
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Could not check	we could not read the weighting in this poll's documents
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 2 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 1,001 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	1001	“N = 1,001” (document, page 1)
Field start date	2026-02-23	“February 23 - 24, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date	2026-02-24	“February 23 - 24, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reached	Not checked
Who was surveyed	Not checked
Sponsor	Not checked
Margin of error	3.1	“MoE = +/- 3.1” (document, page 1)
Weighting	Not checked
Party mix of the sample	Strong Democrat 24.9%; Not very strong Democrat 2.1%; Independent who leans Democrat 16.1%; Pure Independent 5.9%; Independent who leans Republican 13.4%; Not very strong Republican 2.3%; Strong Republican 35.4%	“24.9% Strong Democrat” (document, page 4)
Age mix of the sample	18 to 34 9.9%; 35 to 44 12.3%; 45 to 54 15.0%; 55 to 64 22.8%; 65 or older 40.1%	“9.9% 18 to 34” (document, page 4)
Region mix of the sample	Total sample (base 1001), Region table, Total column: Central Texas 22.7%, Dallas Metroplex 27.8%, East Texas 4.8%, Greater Houston 19.7%, South Texas 17.9%, West Texas / Panhandle 7.1%. This is the whole-sample column, not a split specific to the Senate Democratic primary.	“Central Texas 22.7%” (document, page 20)
Ballot question wording	In the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, which candidate did / do you support?	“In the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate,” (document, page 2)
Question order	Not checked
Crosstabs	yes	“Weighted Crosstabs by Primary, Ideology, & Party” (document, page 6)
Where respondents came from	Not checked