U.S. Senate, Republican primary
J.L. Partners: 31 Jan – 2 Feb 2026
U.S. Senate, Republican primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by J.L. Partners.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | no measured benchmark for this state yet |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed likely voters |
| Fielded in a single day. | Could not check | field dates not on the page we read (see the basic-method rule) |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 600 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Could not check | field end or first listing date not known |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 600 | “The public poll surveyed 600 likely voters in the Texas Senate Republican primary from Jan. 31 to Feb. 2. The margin of error was plus or minus four percentage points.” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | Not on the page we read | |
| Field end date | Not on the page we read | |
| How people were reached | Not on the page we read | |
| Who was surveyed | lv | “J.L. Partners found 27.0% of likely voters supported Paxton, 25.7% backed Hunt, and 25.5% would cast a ballot for Cornyn if the election were held today. Another 21.7% were unsure of whom they would support.” (document, page 1) |
| Sponsor | Not on the page we read | |
| Margin of error | Not checked | |
| Weighting | Not on the page we read | |
| Party mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Age mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Region mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Ballot question wording | Not on the page we read | |
| Question order | Not on the page we read | |
| Crosstabs | Not on the page we read | |
| Where respondents came from | Not on the page we read |