Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

CNN/SSRS: 20 Oct – 27 Oct 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by CNN/SSRS.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Could not checkwe read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode stated on a page about this poll
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting stated on a page about this poll
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 8 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 838 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size838 “The CNN polls of likely voters were conducted online and by telephone from Oct. 20-27, 2026 in Michigan and Texas and Oct. 20-26, 2026 in Kansas and Maine. Registered voters were randomly sampled from both registered voter lists and a probability-based panel. Results among likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election. Results among the 838 likely voters in Kansas have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points; among the 783 likely voters in Maine, the margin of sampling error is 4.5 percentage points; among the 768 likely voters in Michigan it is 4.7 percentage points, and among the 923 likely voters in Texas it is 4.2 percentage points.” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-10-20 “The CNN polls of likely voters were conducted online and by telephone from Oct. 20-27, 2026 in Michigan and Texas and Oct. 20-26, 2026 in Kansas and Maine. Registered voters were randomly sampled from both registered voter lists and a probability-based panel. Results among likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election. Results among the 838 likely voters in Kansas have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points; among the 783 likely voters in Maine, the margin of sampling error is 4.5 percentage points; among the 768 likely voters in Michigan it is 4.7 percentage points, and among the 923 likely voters in Texas it is 4.2 percentage points.” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-10-27 “The CNN polls of likely voters were conducted online and by telephone from Oct. 20-27, 2026 in Michigan and Texas and Oct. 20-26, 2026 in Kansas and Maine. Registered voters were randomly sampled from both registered voter lists and a probability-based panel. Results among likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election. Results among the 838 likely voters in Kansas have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points; among the 783 likely voters in Maine, the margin of sampling error is 4.5 percentage points; among the 768 likely voters in Michigan it is 4.7 percentage points, and among the 923 likely voters in Texas it is 4.2 percentage points.” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedmixed “The CNN polls of likely voters were conducted online and by telephone from Oct. 20-27, 2026 in Michigan and Texas and Oct. 20-26, 2026 in Kansas and Maine.” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “Results among likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.” (document, page 1)
SponsorCNN “CNN polling across four key Senate races in the final days of the midterm campaign finds Democrats well-positioned in Michigan and Texas” (document, page 1)
Margin of error4.5 “The CNN polls of likely voters were conducted online and by telephone from Oct. 20-27, 2026 in Michigan and Texas and Oct. 20-26, 2026 in Kansas and Maine. Registered voters were randomly sampled from both registered voter lists and a probability-based panel. Results among likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election. Results among the 838 likely voters in Kansas have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points; among the 783 likely voters in Maine, the margin of sampling error is 4.5 percentage points; among the 768 likely voters in Michigan it is 4.7 percentage points, and among the 923 likely voters in Texas it is 4.2 percentage points.” (document, page 1)
Weightingpredicted likelihood of voting “Results among likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Age mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Region mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Ballot question wordingNot on the page we read
Question orderNot on the page we read
CrosstabsNot on the page we read
Where respondents came frommixed “Registered voters were randomly sampled from both registered voter lists and a probability-based panel.” (document, page 1)

Documents