Texas poll check

Governor, general election

YouGov: 26 Oct – 29 Oct 2026

Governor, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by YouGov.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Could not checkwe could not read the how people were reached in this poll's documents
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 4 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 2,141 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 3 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size2141 “2,141 Texas Likely Voters” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-10-26 “Conducted October 26-29, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-10-29 “Conducted October 26-29, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedNot checked
Who was surveyedlv “Texas General Election 2026 – Likely Voters” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error2.9 “Margin of Error ±2.9%” (document, page 1)
Weightinggender, age, race, in-state geography, imputed education, party score, 2024 presidential vote “The sample was weighted to gender, age, race, in-state geography (using the current Texas voter list)” (document, page 10)
Party mix of the sampleDemocrat 28%, Republican 44%, Independent 23%, Other 3%, Not sure 3% “Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?” (document, page 1)
Age mix of the sample18-29 11%, 30-44 22%, 45-64 35%, 65+ 32% “Respondent age by category” (document, page 2)
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingWho did you vote for, or who will you vote for, in the election for Governor of Texas? “Who did you vote for, or who will you vote for, in the election for Governor of Texas?” (document, page 2)
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “6. Texas Governor Vote 2026” (document, page 9)
Where respondents came fromvoter-file “selected from a list of Texas registered voters” (document, page 10)

Documents