Texas poll check

Governor, general election

Slingshot Strategies: 21 Aug – 24 Aug 2026

Governor, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Slingshot Strategies.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 4 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,000 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 3 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1000 “This poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters via online panel from August 21, 2026 to August 24, 2026. Results were weighted by gender, age, race,” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-08-21 “August 21-24, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-08-24 “August 21-24, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedonline-panel “This poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters via online panel from August 21, 2026 to August 24, 2026. Results were weighted by gender, age, race,” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “This poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters via online panel from August 21, 2026 to August 24, 2026. Results were weighted by gender, age, race,” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error3.3 “education, 2024 vote recall, and Congressional District to match population demographics. The margin of error is ±3.3 percentage points.” (document, page 1)
Weightinggender, age, race, education, 2024 vote recall, Congressional District “Results were weighted by gender, age, race, education, 2024 vote recall, and Congressional District to match population demographics.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleRepublican 44%, Democrat 34%, Independent 22%, Something else 1% “6. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent or something else? Republican 44% Democrat 34% Independent 22% Something else 1%” (document, page 2)
Age mix of the sampleUnder 18 -; 18-24 5%; 25-29 6%; 30-34 8%; 35-39 7%; 40-44 7%; 45-49 8%; 50-54 10%; 55-59 10%; 60-64 9%; 65-69 11%; 70-74 10%; 75+ 9% “5. What is your age? Under 18 - 18-24 5% 25-29 6% 30-34 8% 35-39 7% 40-44 7% 45-49 8% 50-54 10% 55-59 10% 60-64 9% 65-69 11% 70-74 10% 75+ 9%” (document, page 2)
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingIf the 2026 general election for Governor of Texas were held today, for whom would you vote? “19. If the 2026 general election for Governor of Texas were held today, for whom would you vote?” (document, page 6)
Question orderNot disclosed
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot checked

Documents