ActiVote: 30 Sep – 14 Oct 2026
Governor, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by ActiVote.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | no measured benchmark for this state yet |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Clear | crosstabs published |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Clear | weighting stated on a page about this poll |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed likely voters |
| Fielded in a single day. | Clear | fielded over 15 days |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 400 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Clear | first listed 1 days after fieldwork ended |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 400 | “400 likely midterm voters · MoE ±4.9%” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | 2026-09-30 | “The poll was in the field between September 30 and October 14 (median field date of October 7).” (document, page 1) |
| Field end date | 2026-10-14 | “The poll was in the field between September 30 and October 14 (median field date of October 7).” (document, page 1) |
| How people were reached | Not on the page we read | |
| Who was surveyed | lv | “The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%.” (document, page 1) |
| Sponsor | Not on the page we read | |
| Margin of error | 4.9 | “400 likely midterm voters · MoE ±4.9%” (document, page 1) |
| Weighting | Demographics, Spectrum | “Responses weighted by Demographics and Spectrum.” (document, page 1) |
| Party mix of the sample | not reported; the document says Texas does not register voters by party, so no party breakdown is reported | “Texas does not register voters by party, so we do not report a breakdown by party affiliation.” (document, page 1) |
| Age mix of the sample | 18-29 26% unweighted / 17% weighted; 30-49 36% / 29%; 50-64 22% / 23%; 65+ 16% / 30% | “Age 18-29 26% 17% 66% 34% 30-49 36% 29% 49% 51% 50-64 22% 23% 43% 57% 65+ 16% 30% 54% 46%” (document, page 1) |
| Region mix of the sample | rural 27% unweighted / 30% weighted; suburban 32% / 27%; urban 41% / 42% | “Region rural 27% 30% 41% 59% suburban 32% 27% 49% 51% urban 41% 42% 62% 38%” (document, page 1) |
| Ballot question wording | Not on the page we read | |
| Question order | Not on the page we read | |
| Crosstabs | yes | “The full crosstab table” (document, page 1) |
| Where respondents came from | Not on the page we read |
Documents
- Article or page: https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-governor/ (kept a copy)
- Article or page: https://www.activote.net/polls/2026/tx-u-s-senate/2026-10-14/ (kept a copy)