co/efficient: 25 Aug – 27 Aug 2025

U.S. Senate, Republican primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by co/efficient.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Clear	crosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Clear	weighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 818 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 6 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	818	“818 Likely Republican Primary Voters” (document, page 5)
Field start date	2025-08-25	“August 25-27, 2025 Mobile Text Responses and Landline Interviews” (document, page 5)
Field end date	2025-08-27	“August 25-27, 2025 Mobile Text Responses and Landline Interviews” (document, page 5)
How people were reached	live-phone	“August 25-27, 2025 Mobile Text Responses and Landline Interviews” (document, page 5)
Who was surveyed	lv	“818 Likely Republican Primary Voters” (document, page 5)
Sponsor	Not disclosed
Margin of error	3.43	“+/- 3.43%” (document, page 5)
Weighting	age, gender, education level, race	“Age, Gender, Education Level, and Race” (document, page 5)
Party mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Age mix of the sample	18-34: 8%; 35-44: 11%; 45-54: 12%; 55-64: 19%; 65+: 50%	“65+ 50%” (document, page 5)
Region mix of the sample	DMA: Dallas-Ft W 30%; Houston 21%; San Antonio 14%; Austin 7%; Other DMA 29%	“Dallas-Ft W 30%” (document, page 5)
Ballot question wording	If the March 3, 2026, Republican primary election for U.S. Senate were held today between these candidates, who would you vote for?	“If the March 3, 2026, Republican primary election for U.S. Senate were held today between these candidates, who would you vote for?” (document, page 4)
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	yes	“No opinion 10% 4% 5% 2% 14% 6% 13% 10% 4% 7% 10% 11%” (document, page 2)
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed