Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff

co/efficient: 11 Apr – 14 Apr 2026

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by co/efficient.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode stated on a page about this poll
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting stated on a page about this poll
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 4 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,143 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 0 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1143 “1,143 Likely Republican Primary Voters” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-04-11 “Fielded OnApril 11-14, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-04-14 “Fielded OnApril 11-14, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedlive-phone “MethodMobile Text Responses and Landline Interviews” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “1,143 Likely Republican Primary Voters” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot on the page we read
Margin of error3.07 “Margin of Error+/- 3.07%” (document, page 1)
WeightingAge, Gender, Education Level, Race “WeightingAge, Gender, Education Level, and Race” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleNot on the page we read
Age mix of the sample18-44: 12%; 45-54: 13%; 55-64: 19%; 65+: 55% “Age 18-4412% 45-5413% 55-6419% 65+55%” (document, page 1)
Region mix of the sampleDMA: Dallas-Ft. Worth 32%; Houston 18%; East & North Tx 16%; San Antonio/South 15%; West Tx 10%; Austin 9% “DMA Dallas-Ft. Worth32% Houston18% East & North Tx16% San Antonio/South15% West Tx10% Austin9%” (document, page 1)
Ballot question wordingIf the May 26 Republican primary runoff election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? “Full Question: If the May 26 Republican primary runoff election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?” (document, page 1)
Question orderNot on the page we read
Crosstabsyes “Crosstabs” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came fromNot on the page we read

Documents