Texas poll check

Governor, general election

Verasight: 1 Oct – 20 Oct 2026

Governor, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Verasight.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 20 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 600 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 3 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size600 “Verasight collected data for this project from October 1–20, 2026. The sample consists of 600 registered voters” (document, page 7)
Field start date2026-10-01 “Verasight collected data for this project from October 1–20, 2026. The sample consists of 600 registered voters” (document, page 7)
Field end date2026-10-20 “Verasight collected data for this project from October 1–20, 2026. The sample consists of 600 registered voters” (document, page 7)
How people were reachedtext-to-web “SMS response from a mobile phone registered with a major U.S. carrier (e.g., no VOIP or internet phones) as” (document, page 7)
Who was surveyedrv “Verasight collected data for this project from October 1–20, 2026. The sample consists of 600 registered voters” (document, page 7)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error4.3 “margin of error of 4.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The effective sample size for likely voters is 509, and the” (document, page 1)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleLikely voter sample, raw % / weighted %: Democratic 34.6 / 30.9; Republican 33.6 / 39.9; Independent 31.6 / 29.0; Missing 0.2 / 0.2 “Democratic 208 34.6 30.9” (document, page 3)
Age mix of the sampleLikely voter sample, raw % / weighted %: 18-29 9.5 / 13.5; 30-44 24.8 / 21.2; 45-64 40.1 / 33.8; 65+ 24.5 / 30.5; Missing 1.2 / 0.9 “18-29 57 9.5 13.5” (document, page 3)
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingNot disclosed
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “Texas Governor likely voter crosstabs” (document, page 4)
Where respondents came frompanel-vendor “Texas respondents were recruited via email from the Verasight Community, which is composed of individuals recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting.” (document, page 7)

Documents