Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff

Impact Research: 12 Mar – 17 Mar 2026

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Impact Research.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 6 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 900 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 3 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size900 “This memo is based on a phone poll of n=900 likely 2026 general voters in Texas. The poll was conducted March 12-17,” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-03-12 “This memo is based on a phone poll of n=900 likely 2026 general voters in Texas. The poll was conducted March 12-17, 2026 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%. 86% of interviews were conducted via cell phone and interviews were” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-03-17 “This memo is based on a phone poll of n=900 likely 2026 general voters in Texas. The poll was conducted March 12-17, 2026 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%. 86% of interviews were conducted via cell phone and interviews were” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedlive-phone “2026 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%. 86% of interviews were conducted via cell phone and interviews were” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “This memo is based on a phone poll of n=900 likely 2026 general voters in Texas.” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error3.3 “2026 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%. 86% of interviews were conducted via cell phone and interviews were” (document, page 1)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingNot disclosed
Question orderNot disclosed
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents