Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

YouGov Blue: 15 Jul – 31 Jul 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · registered voters · listed by votehub. All polls by YouGov Blue.

Sources disagree

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed registered voters 95 days before the election
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 17 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,001 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 7 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1001 “1,001 registered voters, weighted to likely voter targets provided by 254 Labs, finds Democratic” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-07-15 “Methodology: YouGov Blue interviewed 1,001 Texas registered voters online from July 15–31, 2026 on” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-07-31 “Methodology: YouGov Blue interviewed 1,001 Texas registered voters online from July 15–31, 2026 on” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedonline-panel “YouGov Blue interviewed 1,001 Texas registered voters online from July 15–31, 2026 on behalf of 254 Labs.” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedrv “Respondents were selected to be representative of registered voters in Texas.” (document, page 1)
Sponsor254 Labs “on behalf of 254 Labs” (document, page 1)
Margin of error3.6 “The margin of error (a 95% confidence interval) is approximately 3.6%.” (document, page 1)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingNot disclosed
Question orderNot disclosed
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents