Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Republican primary

Pulse Decision Science: 17 Jun – 22 Jun 2025

U.S. Senate, Republican primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Pulse Decision Science.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 6 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 806 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size806 “22, 2025. The study has a sample size of n=806 likely republican primary voters with a margin” (document, page 2)
Field start date2025-06-17 “Recently released polling conducted by Pulse Decision Science from June 17 – 22 2025” (document, page 1)
Field end date2025-06-22 “Recently released polling conducted by Pulse Decision Science from June 17 – 22 2025” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedlive-phone “Respondents were contacted by phone via a live telephone operator interview from June 17-” (document, page 2)
Who was surveyedlv “Pulse Decision Science conducted a study of likely Republican Primary voters in Texas.” (document, page 2)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error3.5 “with a margin of error of ±3.5% in 95 out of 100 cases.” (document, page 2)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingNot disclosed
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “Gender * Education” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came fromvoter-file “PDS selected a random sample of likely Republican Primary Voters from the State voter file” (document, page 2)

Documents