Texas poll check

Governor, general election

Slingshot Strategies: 27 Aug – 29 Aug 2025

Governor, general election · registered voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Slingshot Strategies.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Flagdid not disclose the how people were reached
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed registered voters 431 days before the election
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 843 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 14 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size843 “843 Registered Voters, August 27-August 29, 2025” (document, page 1)
Field start date2025-08-27 “843 Registered Voters, August 27-August 29, 2025” (document, page 1)
Field end date2025-08-29 “843 Registered Voters, August 27-August 29, 2025” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedNot disclosed
Who was surveyedrv “843 Registered Voters, August 27-August 29, 2025” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error4.6 “MOE ±4.6, Percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding” (document, page 12)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleDemocrat 32%; Republican 38%; Independent 26%; Something else 4% “Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent, or something else?” (document, page 2)
Age mix of the sample18-24 4%; 25-29 7%; 30-34 10%; 35-39 10%; 40-44 7%; 45-49 6%; 50-54 11%; 55-59 7%; 60-64 9%; 65-69 13%; 70-74 9%; 74+ 7% “What is your age?” (document, page 3)
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingIf the 2026 general election for Governor of Texas were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? “If the 2026 general election for Governor of Texas were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?” (document, page 10)
Question orderNot disclosed
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents