Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

Slingshot Strategies: 27 May – 28 May 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Slingshot Strategies.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 2 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,670 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 1 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1670 “This poll surveyed 1,670 likely voters via text message and online panel from May 27, 2026 to May 28, 2026. Results were weighted by age, gender,” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-05-27 “May 27-28, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-05-28 “May 27-28, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedmixed “This poll surveyed 1,670 likely voters via text message and online panel from May 27, 2026 to May 28, 2026. Results were weighted by age, gender,” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “This poll surveyed 1,670 likely voters via text message and online panel from May 27, 2026 to May 28, 2026. Results were weighted by age, gender,” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error2.8 “race, education, and 2024 vote recall to match population demographics. The margin of error is ±2.8 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.” (document, page 1)
Weightingage, gender, race, education, 2024 vote recall “Results were weighted by age, gender, race, education, and 2024 vote recall to match population demographics.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sampleRepublican 47%, Democrat 28%, Independent 23%, Something else 3% “Republican 47% Democrat 28% Independent 23% Something else 3%” (document, page 1)
Age mix of the sampleAge groups as reported (page 7 only): Under 18: -; 18-24: 3%; 25-29: 4%; 30-34: 5%; 35-39: 8%; 40-44: 6%; 45-49: 8%; 50-54: 9%; 55-59: 11%; 60-64: 10%; 65-69: 11%; 70-74: 11%; 74+: 14%. Pages 7-10 do not name the population (likely voters) for this question. “23. What is your age?” (document, page 7)
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingIf the 2026 general election for U.S. Senate in Texas were held today, for whom would you vote? “5. If the 2026 general election for U.S. Senate in Texas were held today, for whom would you vote?” (document, page 3)
Question orderQ8 is stated to be a short answer question at the end of the report. This is a weak order statement and is not about the Senate ballot question. “is a short answer question at the end of the report.” (document, page 4)
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents