Slingshot Strategies: 14 Jan – 21 Jan 2026

Governor, Democratic primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Slingshot Strategies.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Clear	crosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Flag	did not disclose the field start date, field end date
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Clear	weighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Could not check	field dates not disclosed (see the basic-method rule)
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 1,290 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Could not check	field end or first listing date not known

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	1290	“surveyed 1290 likely Democratic primary voters in Texas” (document, page 1)
Field start date	Not disclosed
Field end date	Not disclosed
How people were reached	mixed	“oversample of 300 Latino voters, from January 14th through 21st, and was conducted using web panel and SMS. The poll has a” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyed	lv	“surveyed 1290 likely Democratic primary voters in Texas” (document, page 1)
Sponsor	Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR)	“conducted by Slingshot Strategies for TPOR” (document, page 1)
Margin of error	3.7	“margin of error of ±3.7 percentage points. The data was weighted by gender, race, education, and age. Respondents were also” (document, page 1)
Weighting	gender, race, education, age, whether passed attention checks, modeled modal effects	“The data was weighted by gender, race, education, and age. Respondents were also weighted by whether they passed attention checks and modeled modal effects.” (document, page 1)
Party mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Age mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Region mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Ballot question wording	If the 2026 Democratic primary election for governor of Texas were held today, for whom would you vote?	“If the 2026 Democratic primary election for governor of Texas were held today, for whom would you vote?” (document, page 16)
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	yes	“Democratic Gubernatorial Primary” (document, page 18)
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed