Global Strategy Group: 6 May – 11 May 2026

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Global Strategy Group.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Clear	crosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Flag	did not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 6 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 600 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 9 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	600	“has a margin of error of +/ -4.0%. Of the 600 interviews, 400 were conducted by telephone and 200 via text invitation to web -based” (document, page 3)
Field start date	2026-05-06	“Global Strategy Group conducted a survey of 600 likely Republican runoff voters in Texas between May 6 and May 11, 2026. The survey” (document, page 3)
Field end date	2026-05-11	“Global Strategy Group conducted a survey of 600 likely Republican runoff voters in Texas between May 6 and May 11, 2026. The survey” (document, page 3)
How people were reached	mixed	“Of the 600 interviews, 400 were conducted by telephone and 200 via text invitation to web” (document, page 3)
Who was surveyed	lv	“survey. Care has been taken to ensure the geographic, political, and demographic divisions of the population of likely voters are” (document, page 3)
Sponsor	GIFFORDS	“A new GIFFORDS survey of 600 likely Texas Republican runoff voters answers that question.” (document, page 1)
Margin of error	4.0	“has a margin of error of +/ -4.0%. Of the 600 interviews, 400 were conducted by telephone and 200 via text invitation to web -based” (document, page 3)
Weighting	Not disclosed
Party mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Age mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Region mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Ballot question wording	Not disclosed
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	yes	“% Most Important Factor Overall Paxton Voters” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed