Stratus Intelligence: 22 Sep – 24 Sep 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Stratus Intelligence.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Flag	did not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Flag	did not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 865 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 4 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	865	“Stratus Intelligence conducted this survey among 865 likely 2026 general election voters statewide in Texas from September 22-24, 2026.” (document, page 2)
Field start date	2026-09-22	“September 22-24, 2026. Interviews were conducted 81% by SMS-to-web and 19% by live telephone. The margin of” (document, page 2)
Field end date	2026-09-24	“September 22-24, 2026. Interviews were conducted 81% by SMS-to-web and 19% by live telephone. The margin of” (document, page 2)
How people were reached	mixed	“September 22-24, 2026. Interviews were conducted 81% by SMS-to-web and 19% by live telephone. The margin of” (document, page 2)
Who was surveyed	lv	“• Fifty-seven percent of likely voters expect Republicans to control Texas after the election, compared with 29%” (document, page 1)
Sponsor	Not disclosed
Margin of error	3.5	“2026 likely general electorate. The results are subject to a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level.” (document, page 1)
Weighting	Not disclosed
Party mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Age mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Region mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Ballot question wording	Not disclosed
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	Not disclosed
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed