Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Democratic primary

YouGov: 2 Feb – 16 Feb 2026

U.S. Senate, Democratic primary · registered voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by YouGov.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Flagsurveyed registered voters, not likely voters, 15 days before the election (threshold 60)
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 15 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,300 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 9 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1300 “N=1300 Registered Voters. In addition, results for the 2026 primary election items include an” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-02-02 “Field Dates: February 2-16, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-02-16 “Field Dates: February 2-16, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedonline-panel “population and the opt-in panel.” (document, page 55)
Who was surveyedrv “N=1300 Registered Voters. In addition, results for the 2026 primary election items include an” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot checked
Margin of error2.72 “Margin of error: +/- 2.72% unless otherwise noted1” (document, page 1)
Weightingage, gender, race/ethnicity, education, 2024 presidential vote (registered-voter main sample) “These weights were then post-stratified on baseline 2024 presidential vote, and a full stratification of four-category age, four-category race, gender, and four-category education.” (document, page 53)
Party mix of the sampleDemocrats 43%, Independents 8%, Republicans 49% (PID3) “Democrats 43” (document, page 43)
Age mix of the sample18-29: 16%; 30-44: 25%; 45-64: 33%; 65+: 26% “18-29 16” (document, page 45)
Region mix of the sampleHouston area 22%; Dallas-Fort Worth area 31%; San Antonio area 10%; Austin area 8%; another part of Texas 29% (METRO) “Yes, I live in the Houston area 22” (document, page 45)
Ballot question wordingIf the 2026 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? (Asked of Democratic primary voters, N=369.) “Q20D. [ASK IF Q3D= ‘2. Democratic Primary’] If the 2026 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-3]” (document, page 33)
Question orderRespondents were first asked the Q20R to Q23D questions. Those who first said they did not know were then asked a follow-up question. This describes the order of the initial question and its follow-up only. It does not state the order of these questions relative to other survey questions. “For Q20R – Q23D, respondents were first asked the questions below. If they initially answered that they didn’t know, they were then asked a follow-up question: “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?”” (document, page 31)
Crosstabsyes “February 2026 Texas Statewide Survey Crosstabs” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came frompanel-vendor “The YouGov panel, a proprietary opt-in survey panel, is comprised of 1.5 million U.S. residents who have agreed to participate in YouGov Web surveys.” (document, page 54)

Documents