Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Republican primary

CWS Research: 9 Jul – 10 Jul 2022

U.S. Senate, Republican primary · registered voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by CWS Research.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Flag	did not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Flag	did not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed registered voters 1332 days before the election
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 2 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 1,918 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	1918	“1,918 survey respondents were randomly selected from a demographically proportionate sample of voters who participated in the 2022 Republican party primary or primary runoff in Texas.” (document, page 1)
Field start date	2022-07-09	“This survey was conducted from July 9 – July 10, 2022, through a series of interactive voice response” (document, page 1)
Field end date	2022-07-10	“This survey was conducted from July 9 – July 10, 2022, through a series of interactive voice response” (document, page 1)
How people were reached	mixed	“This survey was conducted from July 9 – July 10, 2022, through a series of interactive voice response” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyed	v	“1,918 survey respondents were randomly selected from a demographically proportionate sample of voters who participated in the 2022 Republican party primary or primary runoff in Texas.” (document, page 1)
Sponsor	Not disclosed
Margin of error	2.2	“The survey has a 2.2% margin of error with a confidence level of 95%.” (document, page 1)
Weighting	Not disclosed
Party mix of the sample	Republican 78%; Independent 22%; Democrat and Other screened out (END)	“Republican 78%” (document, page 1)
Age mix of the sample	18-34 7%; 35-44 11%; 45-54 17%; 55-64 23%; 65-74 24%; 75 or over 18%	“18-34 7%” (document, page 4)
Region mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Ballot question wording	If the 2026 Republican Primary election for US Senate were held today and the candidates were John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, for whom would you vote? (This is the first asking, on page 1. A second asking appears on page 2 after information is given.)	“If the 2026 Republican Primary election for US Senate were held today and the candidates were John” (document, page 1)
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	Not disclosed
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed

Documents

Topline: https://drive.google.com/uc?export=download&id=1eNg8qDs0MpbzlQKqdwTXPrgzM4dSdL4N (kept a copy)