Quantus Insights: 21 Mar – 22 Mar 2026

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Quantus Insights.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Clear	crosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Flag	did not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 1,217 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 1 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	1217	“Based on a comprehensive poll of 1,217 respondents (±2.8% margin of error) conducted on 3/23/2026,” (document, page 2)
Field start date	2026-03-21	“March 21-23 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date	2026-03-23	“March 21-23 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reached	text-to-web	“Notes This survey was conducted via SMS outreach via phone and with” (document, page 3)
Who was surveyed	lv	“Likely primary voters” (document, page 3)
Sponsor	Not disclosed
Margin of error	2.8	“Margin of Error ±2.8%” (document, page 3)
Weighting	Not disclosed
Party mix of the sample	Republican 86.8%, Democrat 1.5%, Independent 10.1%, Other 1.5% (whole sample)	“Republican 86.8% 1,056” (document, page 4)
Age mix of the sample	18-29 4.0%, 30-44 15.4%, 45-64 31.6%, 65+ 49.0% (whole sample)	“65+ 49.0% 597” (document, page 4)
Region mix of the sample	Area: Suburban 36.5%, Urban 30.7%, Rural 25.9%, Town 6.9% (whole sample; labelled 'Area', not 'region')	“Suburban 36.5% 444” (document, page 5)
Ballot question wording	Not disclosed
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	yes	“Analysis by: Party Registration, Age, Gender, Race, Education, Area, Primary Voter Frequency” (document, page 6)
Where respondents came from	voter-file	“This survey was conducted via SMS outreach via phone and with validated voter files” (document, page 3)