Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff

Public Policy Polling: 5 Mar – 6 Mar 2026

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Public Policy Polling.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Flagdid not disclose the how people were reached
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 2 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 565 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 5 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size565 “PPP surveyed 565 likely runoff voters in Texas on March 5th and 6th with a margin of error of +/-4.1%.” (document, page 2)
Field start date2026-03-05 “PPP surveyed 565 likely runoff voters in Texas on March 5th and 6th with a margin of error of +/-4.1%.” (document, page 2)
Field end date2026-03-06 “PPP surveyed 565 likely runoff voters in Texas on March 5th and 6th with a margin of error of +/-4.1%.” (document, page 2)
How people were reachedNot disclosed
Who was surveyedlv “PPP surveyed 565 likely runoff voters in Texas on March 5th and 6th with a margin of error of +/-4.1%.” (document, page 2)
SponsorTexas Justice Fund “The poll was weighted to expected Republican runoff election turnout and was conducted on behalf of the Texas Justice Fund.” (document, page 2)
Margin of error4.1 “PPP surveyed 565 likely runoff voters in Texas on March 5th and 6th with a margin of error of +/-4.1%.” (document, page 2)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingNot disclosed
Question orderNot disclosed
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents