Peak Insights: 6 Apr – 9 Apr 2026

U.S. Senate, Republican primary runoff · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Peak Insights.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Flag	did not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Flag	did not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 4 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 800 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 4 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	800	“A recent statewide survey of likely 2026 Texas Republican Primary runoff voters (N=800 live calls; MoE +/-3%; April” (document, page 1)
Field start date	2026-04-06	“A recent statewide survey of likely 2026 Texas Republican Primary runoff voters (N=800 live calls; MoE +/-3%; April 6-9, 2026), conducted for Texans for a Conservative Majority (TCM), shows Senator John Cornyn opening up a narrow” (document, page 1)
Field end date	2026-04-09	“A recent statewide survey of likely 2026 Texas Republican Primary runoff voters (N=800 live calls; MoE +/-3%; April 6-9, 2026), conducted for Texans for a Conservative Majority (TCM), shows Senator John Cornyn opening up a narrow” (document, page 1)
How people were reached	live-phone	“total of 800 live phone interviews were conducted among a representative sample of likely 2026 GOP Primary runoff” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyed	lv	“representative sample of likely 2026 GOP Primary runoff election voters statewide in Texas” (document, page 1)
Sponsor	Texans for a Conservative Majority (TCM)	“conducted for Texans for a Conservative Majority (TCM)” (document, page 1)
Margin of error	3	“MoE +/-3%” (document, page 1)
Weighting	Not disclosed
Party mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Age mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Region mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Ballot question wording	Not disclosed
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	Not disclosed
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed