Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Democratic primary

Impact Research: 23 Oct – 29 Oct 2025

U.S. Senate, Democratic primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Impact Research.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 7 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 836 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 12 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size836 “Research from October 23-29, 2025 among N=836 likely 2026 Democratic Primary voters in Texas. 74% of” (document, page 1)
Field start date2025-10-23 “Research from October 23-29, 2025 among N=836 likely 2026 Democratic Primary voters in Texas. 74% of” (document, page 1)
Field end date2025-10-29 “Research from October 23-29, 2025 among N=836 likely 2026 Democratic Primary voters in Texas. 74% of” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedmixed “These findings are based on a live interview and text-to-web bilingual phone survey conducted by Impact” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “among N=836 likely 2026 Democratic Primary voters in Texas” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error3.5 “interviews were conducted via cell phones. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.” (document, page 1)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingNot disclosed
Question orderNot disclosed
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents