Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

Verasight: 1 Oct – 20 Oct 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Verasight.

Sources disagree

Another listing may describe this same poll under a different pollster name or dates. We have not ruled on it yet.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Clear	crosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Flag	did not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 20 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 600 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 3 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	600	“Verasight collected data for this project from October 1–20, 2026. The sample consists of 600 registered voters” (document, page 7)
Field start date	2026-10-01	“Verasight collected data for this project from October 1–20, 2026. The sample consists of 600 registered voters” (document, page 7)
Field end date	2026-10-20	“Verasight collected data for this project from October 1–20, 2026. The sample consists of 600 registered voters” (document, page 7)
How people were reached	text-to-web	“SMS response from a mobile phone registered with a major U.S. carrier (e.g., no VOIP or internet phones) as” (document, page 7)
Who was surveyed	rv	“Verasight collected data for this project from October 1–20, 2026. The sample consists of 600 registered voters” (document, page 7)
Sponsor	Not disclosed
Margin of error	4.3	“margin of error of 4.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The effective sample size for likely voters is 509, and the” (document, page 1)
Weighting	Not disclosed
Party mix of the sample	Likely voters, weighted (raw): Democratic 30.9% (34.6%); Republican 39.9% (33.6%); Independent 29.0% (31.6%); Missing 0.2% (0.2%).	“Democratic 208 34.6 30.9” (document, page 3)
Age mix of the sample	Likely voters, weighted (raw): 18-29 13.5% (9.5%); 30-44 21.2% (24.8%); 45-64 33.8% (40.1%); 65+ 30.5% (24.5%); Missing 0.9% (1.2%).	“65+ 147 24.5 30.5” (document, page 3)
Region mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Ballot question wording	Not disclosed
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	yes	“Texas U.S. Senate likely voter crosstabs” (document, page 5)
Where respondents came from	Not checked

Documents

Topline: https://cdn.votehub.com/pdfs/VoteHub_Verasight_Oct_2026_Texas_Report_D8A925D0.pdf (kept a copy)