GBAO: 13 Aug – 18 Aug 2025

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by GBAO.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Flag	did not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Clear	sample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Flag	did not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 6 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 800 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 4 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	800	“conducted a survey of 800 likely November 2026 voters statewide in Texas” (document, page 2)
Field start date	2025-08-13	“voters statewide in Texas from August 13-18, 2025. The survey was conducted by telephone using live” (document, page 2)
Field end date	2025-08-18	“voters statewide in Texas from August 13-18, 2025. The survey was conducted by telephone using live” (document, page 2)
How people were reached	text-to-web	“interviewers and text message and included an option to take the survey in either Spanish or English. The” (document, page 2)
Who was surveyed	lv	“conducted a survey of 800 likely November 2026 voters statewide in Texas” (document, page 2)
Sponsor	GOP’s Senate Leadership Fund	“Republican polls, including one from Donald Trump’s own pollster and another commissioned by the GOP’s Senate Leadership Fund.” (document, page 4)
Margin of error	3.5	“The survey is subject to a 3.5 percentage point margin of error at the 95% confidence level.” (document, page 2)
Weighting	Not disclosed
Party mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Age mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Region mix of the sample	Not disclosed
Ballot question wording	Not disclosed
Question order	Not disclosed
Crosstabs	Not disclosed
Where respondents came from	Not disclosed