Texas poll check

Governor, general election

YouGov: 13 Oct – 21 Oct 2026

Governor, general election · registered voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by YouGov.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Flagsurveyed registered voters, not likely voters, 13 days before the election (threshold 60)
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 9 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 980 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 6 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size980 “This survey is based on 980 interviews conducted by YouGov on the internet of registered Latino voters in Texas. The sample was weighted according to gender, age,” (document, page 172)
Field start date2026-10-13 “Online sample of 980 Texas Latino voters fielded from October 13 to October 21, 2026.” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-10-21 “Online sample of 980 Texas Latino voters fielded from October 13 to October 21, 2026.” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedtext-to-web “Text message 68% 61% 65% 72% 81% 64% 71% 66% 73% 70% − 59%” (document, page 87)
Who was surveyedrv “This survey is based on 1,000 interviews conducted by YouGov on the internet of registered voters in Texas. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race/ethnicity,” (document, page 172)
SponsorNot checked
Margin of error3.7 “Margin of error: +/-3.7%.” (document, page 1)
Weightinggender, age, education, state region “The sample was weighted according to gender, age, education, and state region based on voter registration lists, the U.S. Census American Community Survey, and the U.S. Census Current Population Survey, as well as 2020 Presidential vote and approximate 2024 Presidential vote based on available results.” (document, page 172)
Party mix of the sampleWeighted N: Dem. 443, Ind. 119, Rep. 418 (counts of Texas Latino voters, not percentages) “Weighted N 980 443 119 418” (document, page 6)
Age mix of the sampleWeighted N: 18-34 343, 35-49 264, 50-64 225, 65+ 149 (counts of Texas Latino voters, not percentages) “Weighted N 980 343 264 225 149” (document, page 6)
Region mix of the sampleWeighted N: North Texas 167, East Texas 19, Central Texas 97, West Texas 118, South Texas 355, Upper Gulf Coast 220, Panhandle Texas 3 (counts, not percentages) “Weighted N 980 167 19 97 118” (document, page 7)
Ballot question wordingNot checked
Question orderNot checked
Crosstabsyes “Definitely vote 70% 64% 64% 79% 83%” (document, page 1)
Where respondents came frompanel-vendor “1,000 interviews conducted by YouGov on the internet of registered voters in Texas” (document, page 172)

Documents