Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, general election

Hart Research Associates: 6 Feb – 12 Feb 2026

U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Hart Research Associates.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 7 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 803 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 5 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size803 “a representative sample of 803 likely general election voters” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-02-06 “Between February 6 and 12, 2026, Hart Research conducted a statewide survey among” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-02-12 “Between February 6 and 12, 2026, Hart Research conducted a statewide survey among” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedmixed “overall margin of error of ±3.5%, was conducted via landline, cell phone, text-to-web, and” (document, page 1)
Who was surveyedlv “a representative sample of 803 likely general election voters” (document, page 1)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error3.5 “overall margin of error of ±3.5%, was conducted via landline, cell phone, text-to-web, and” (document, page 1)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Age mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Region mix of the sampleNot disclosed
Ballot question wordingNot disclosed
Question orderVote preference was re-asked after the two positive statements about Crockett. “Then, we read two positive statements for Crockett and re-asked voter preference” (document, page 2)
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents