Public Policy Polling: 4 Mar – 5 Mar 2026
U.S. Senate, general election · adults · listed by votehub. All polls by Public Policy Polling.
Sources disagree
- Another listing may describe this same poll under a different pollster name or dates. We have not ruled on it yet.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | no measured benchmark for this state yet |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed adults 243 days before the election |
| Fielded in a single day. | Clear | fielded over 2 days |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 576 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Flag | first listed 54 days after fieldwork ended (threshold 21) |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 576 | “The polling found Talarico leading Cornyn 44%-43% and Talarico leading Paxton 47%-45%. We’ll note these results are within the 4.1% margin of error and there’s a relatively small sample size of 576 Texas voters. The poll was conducted immediately after Tuesday’s primary from March 4-5.” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | 2026-03-04 | “The poll was conducted immediately after Tuesday’s primary from March 4-5.” (document, page 1) |
| Field end date | 2026-03-05 | “The poll was conducted immediately after Tuesday’s primary from March 4-5.” (document, page 1) |
| How people were reached | Not on the page we read | |
| Who was surveyed | v | “a relatively small sample size of 576 Texas voters” (document, page 1) |
| Sponsor | Senate Majority PAC found “no meaningful difference in electability” between Sen | “News: A PPP poll commissioned by Senate Majority PAC found “no meaningful difference in electability” between Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in a general election matchup against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico.” (document, page 1) |
| Margin of error | 4.1 | “within the 4.1% margin of error” (document, page 1) |
| Weighting | Not on the page we read | |
| Party mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Age mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Region mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Ballot question wording | Not on the page we read | |
| Question order | Not on the page we read | |
| Crosstabs | Not on the page we read | |
| Where respondents came from | Not on the page we read |
Documents
- Article or page: https://punchbowl.news/article/campaigns/paxton-cornyn-poll/ (kept a copy)