Blueprint Polling: 23 Feb – 24 Feb 2026
Governor, Democratic primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Blueprint Polling.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | no measured benchmark for this state yet |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Clear | crosstabs published |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we could not read the how people were reached in this poll's documents |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Could not check | we could not read the weighting in this poll's documents |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed likely voters |
| Fielded in a single day. | Clear | fielded over 2 days |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 1,001 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Clear | first listed 3 days after fieldwork ended |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 1001 | “N = 1,001” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | 2026-02-23 | “February 23 - 24, 2026” (document, page 1) |
| Field end date | 2026-02-24 | “February 23 - 24, 2026” (document, page 1) |
| How people were reached | Not checked | |
| Who was surveyed | Not checked | |
| Sponsor | Not checked | |
| Margin of error | 3.1 | “MoE = +/- 3.1” (document, page 1) |
| Weighting | Not checked | |
| Party mix of the sample | Strong Democrat 24.9%; Not very strong Democrat 2.1%; Independent who leans Democrat 16.1%; Pure Independent 5.9%; Independent who leans Republican 13.4%; Not very strong Republican 2.3%; Strong Republican 35.4% | “24.9% Strong Democrat” (document, page 4) |
| Age mix of the sample | 18 to 34 9.9%; 35 to 44 12.3%; 45 to 54 15.0%; 55 to 64 22.8%; 65 or older 40.1% | “40.1% 65 or older” (document, page 4) |
| Region mix of the sample | Total column: Central Texas 22.7%, Dallas Metroplex 27.8%, East Texas 4.8%, Greater Houston 19.7%, South Texas 17.9%, West Texas / Panhandle 7.1% | “Central Texas 22.7%” (document, page 20) |
| Ballot question wording | In the Democratic primary for Governor, which candidate did / do you support? | “In the Democratic primary for Governor, which” (document, page 2) |
| Question order | Not checked | |
| Crosstabs | yes | “Weighted Crosstabs by Primary, Ideology, & Party” (document, page 6) |
| Where respondents came from | Not checked |