Texas poll check

U.S. Senate, Republican primary

Quantus Insights: 25 Feb – 26 Feb 2026

U.S. Senate, Republican primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Quantus Insights.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Flagdid not disclose crosstabs
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Flagdid not disclose the field start date, field end date
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Clearweighting disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day. Could not checkfield dates not disclosed (see the basic-method rule)
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 939 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Could not checkfield end or first listing date not known

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size939 “▪ Qualified N = 939” (document, page 2)
Field start dateNot disclosed
Field end dateNot disclosed
How people were reachedtext-to-web “Mode: SMS text survey targeted outreach among likely voters.” (document, page 2)
Who was surveyedlv “Sample: 939 likely voters | Fielded February 25 – February 26 | Published February 27, 2025 | Texas survey” (document, page 2)
SponsorJason Corley, Lead Pollster & Co-Founder (document wording is 'Authorized by', not 'sponsored by') “Authorized by Jason Corley, Lead Pollster & Co-Founder” (document, page 1)
Margin of error3.5 “Margin of Error: ±3.5% at 95% confidence | Crosstabs here.” (document, page 2)
Weightingrace x age, gender, race/ethnicity, education, region, party ID, education x region “Adjusted complex intersections (e.g., race × age, gender, race/ethnicity, education, region, and party ID: education × region)” (document, page 2)
Party mix of the sampleDemocrat 0%, Republican 92%, Independent/Other 8% “Republican 92%” (document, page 3)
Age mix of the sample18–29 1%, 30–44 3%, 45–64 24%, 65+ 72% “65+ 72%” (document, page 3)
Region mix of the sampleDocument reports 'Area' type, not region: Urban 28%, Suburban 28%, Rural 35%, Town 9% “Urban 28%” (document, page 3)
Ballot question wordingQ1 ballot wording “If the Republican primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?” (document, page 6)
Question orderNot disclosed
CrosstabsNot disclosed
Where respondents came fromNot disclosed

Documents