Stratus Intelligence: 14 Sep – 16 Sep 2025

U.S. Senate, Republican primary · likely voters · listed by pollresults. All polls by Stratus Intelligence.

Rules

Rule	Result	Why
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points.	Could not check	no measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents.	Withheld	decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs.	Could not check	we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached.	Could not check	we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted.	Could not check	we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election.	Clear	surveyed likely voters
Fielded in a single day.	Clear	fielded over 3 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district).	Clear	sample of 842 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee.	Withheld	extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended.	Clear	first listed 2 days after fieldwork ended

Fact	Status	Evidence
Sample size	842	“The survey of 842 GOP primary voters was conducted Sept. 14-16 by Stratus Intelligence.” (document, page 1)
Field start date	2025-09-14	“The survey of 842 GOP primary voters was conducted Sept. 14-16 by Stratus Intelligence.” (document, page 1)
Field end date	2025-09-16	“The survey of 842 GOP primary voters was conducted Sept. 14-16 by Stratus Intelligence.” (document, page 1)
How people were reached	Not on the page we read
Who was surveyed	Not on the page we read
Sponsor	An unnamed outside group supporting Hunt (the document does not give its name)	“Of course, this is an internal poll by an outside group supporting Hunt.” (document, page 1)
Margin of error	Not on the page we read
Weighting	Not on the page we read
Party mix of the sample	Not on the page we read
Age mix of the sample	Not on the page we read
Region mix of the sample	Not on the page we read
Ballot question wording	Not on the page we read
Question order	Not on the page we read
Crosstabs	Not on the page we read
Where respondents came from	Not on the page we read