Slingshot Strategies: 15 Oct – 18 Oct 2026
U.S. Senate, general election · likely voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by Slingshot Strategies.
Rules
| Rule | Result | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. | Could not check | no measured benchmark for this state yet |
| The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. | Withheld | decided by a wording judge that is not built or measured |
| Did not disclose crosstabs. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. | Could not check | we read only a page about this poll, not the pollster's own release, so we cannot say what the pollster disclosed |
| Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67 |
| Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. | Clear | surveyed likely voters |
| Fielded in a single day. | Clear | fielded over 4 days |
| Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). | Clear | sample of 969 meets the threshold of 400 |
| Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. | Withheld | extraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60 |
| First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. | Clear | first listed 5 days after fieldwork ended |
What the poll's documents state
| Fact | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Sample size | 969 | “The survey of 969 likely Texas voters was conducted from October 15 to October 18, 2026” (document, page 1) |
| Field start date | 2026-10-15 | “The survey of 969 likely Texas voters was conducted from October 15 to October 18, 2026, and has a margin of error of ±3.9 percentage points. The full topline is available here, and crosstabs are available upon request.” (document, page 1) |
| Field end date | 2026-10-18 | “The survey of 969 likely Texas voters was conducted from October 15 to October 18, 2026, and has a margin of error of ±3.9 percentage points. The full topline is available here, and crosstabs are available upon request.” (document, page 1) |
| How people were reached | Not on the page we read | |
| Who was surveyed | lv | “today released a new poll of Texas likely general election voters” (document, page 1) |
| Sponsor | Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) | “Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR)—a nonpartisan polling initiative dedicated to exploring Texans’ beliefs and priorities—today released a new poll” (document, page 1) |
| Margin of error | 3.9 | “The survey of 969 likely Texas voters was conducted from October 15 to October 18, 2026, and has a margin of error of ±3.9 percentage points. The full topline is available here, and crosstabs are available upon request.” (document, page 1) |
| Weighting | Not on the page we read | |
| Party mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Age mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Region mix of the sample | Not on the page we read | |
| Ballot question wording | Not on the page we read | |
| Question order | Not on the page we read | |
| Crosstabs | Not on the page we read | |
| Where respondents came from | Not on the page we read |
Documents
- Article or page: https://texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com/p/october-poll-in-texas-general-election (kept a copy)