Texas poll check

Governor, general election

University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research: 13 Feb – 22 Feb 2026

Governor, general election · registered voters · listed by pollresults and votehub. All polls by University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research.

Rules

RuleResultWhy
Age mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 8 points. Could not checkno measured benchmark for this state yet
The ballot question's wording may lead respondents. Withhelddecided by a wording judge that is not built or measured
Did not disclose crosstabs. Clearcrosstabs published
Did not disclose its basic method: sample size, field dates and how people were reached. Clearsample size, field dates and mode disclosed
Did not disclose how the sample was weighted. Flagdid not disclose how the sample was weighted
Party mix of the sample differs from the benchmark by more than 6 points. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: party mix of the sample precision 0.67, party mix of the sample recall 0.67
Surveyed registered voters or adults, not likely voters, within 60 days of the election. Clearsurveyed registered voters 254 days before the election
Fielded in a single day. Clearfielded over 10 days
Sample is below 400 for a statewide race (300 for a district). Clearsample of 1,117 meets the threshold of 400
Sponsored by a campaign, party or political committee. Withheldextraction accuracy below 0.80: sponsor recall 0.60
First listed more than 21 days after fieldwork ended. Clearfirst listed 5 days after fieldwork ended

What the poll's documents state

FactStatusEvidence
Sample size1117 “N= 1,117 (Registered Voters)” (document, page 1)
Field start date2026-02-13 “Field Dates: February 13-22, 2026” (document, page 1)
Field end date2026-02-22 “Field Dates: February 13-22, 2026” (document, page 1)
How people were reachedmixed “The mixed-mode sample includes 329 registered voters surveyed over the hone by the University of Texas at Tyler with support from ProMark Research and 771 registered voters randomly selected from Dynata’s panel of online respondents.” (document, page 20)
Who was surveyedrv “The UT-Tyler Poll is a statewide random sample of 1,117 registered voters conducted February” (document, page 20)
SponsorNot disclosed
Margin of error3.1 “Margin of error: +/- 3.1% (RV) & +/- 3.2% (LV)” (document, page 1)
WeightingNot disclosed
Party mix of the sampleRV: Strong Democrat 24%; Not strong Democrat 10%; Lean Democratic, Independent 7%; Lean to no Party, Independent 10%; Lean Republican, Independent 8%; Not strong Republican 11%; Strong Republican 30% “Strong Democrat 24% 26% 29% 47% 16%” (document, page 1)
Age mix of the sampleRegistered voters: 18 to 24 = 7%; 25 to 34 = 16%; 35 to 44 = 18%; 45 to 64 = 35%; 65 plus = 23% “18 to 24 years old 7” (document, page 19)
Region mix of the sampleNo named regions. Metro density split for registered voters: metro over 1 million = 70%; metro 250k to 1 mil. = 14%; metro below 250k = 5%; non-metro counties = 10% “Metro, pop over 1 million 70” (document, page 19)
Ballot question wordingQ13: "If the general election for Governor of Texas in 2026 was held today, would you vote for:" Choices: Greg Abbott; Gina Hinojosa; Not sure. (Q14 on the same page asks the same governor question with Chris Bell in place of Gina Hinojosa.) “Q13 If the general election for Governor of Texas in 2026 was held today, would you vote” (document, page 7)
Question orderNot disclosed
Crosstabsyes “Results are broken down based on answers given in Q3 & Q4” (document, page 2)
Where respondents came frommixed “The mixed-mode sample includes 329 registered voters surveyed over the hone by the University of Texas at Tyler with support from ProMark Research and 771 registered voters randomly selected from Dynata’s panel of online respondents.” (document, page 20)

Documents